Drug Forecast
نویسندگان
چکیده
INTRODUCTION Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection affects approximately one million persons in the U.S. alone.1 Along with recent advances in HIV treatment options, especially over the past decade, dramatic reductions in HIV-associated morbidity and mortality have been observed.2 As a result of an increase in life expectancy, however, the severity of side effects from these treatment options has increased drastically as well. The most typical change observed is lipodystrophy syndrome, which to date has increased significantly among this patient population. HIV-infected patients present with unusual changes in the distribution of body fat. An increased amount of fat can be seen in various areas of the body, such as the stomach, neck, and breast tissue, with fat loss sometimes observed in the face, arms, legs, and buttocks.3 Although these changes in body fat have been associated with highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), they are not attributed solely to HAART. Other risk factors that tend to potentiate the development of lipoatrophy are depicted in Table 1. Facial lipoatrophy, also known as “facial wasting,” has become more prevalent since the advent of HAART.3 Facial lipoatrophy is manifested by subcutaneous fat loss in the face, which most commonly presents as sunken cheeks, temples, and eyes.4 Among the available drug therapies, protease inhibitor (PI)– based therapy and nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI)–based HAART were most often associated with these side effects.5,6 The exact mechanism of how fat loss occurs remains to be discovered, but some investigators suspect mitochondrial toxicity as an etiological factor.7 Although facial lipoatrophy might seem to be a “cosmetic” issue for many people who have not encountered it before, this condition has been associated with a high degree of psychological morbidity, including depression and anxiety, and has even led to inappropriate discontinuation of HAART.2 Stopping therapy can lead to an increase in opportunistic infections and death associated Dr. Marzella is an Assistant Professor of Pharmacy Practice at the Arnold & Marie Schwartz College of Pharmacy and Health Sciences, Long Island University and a Clinical Pharmacy Specialist in the Department of Veterans Affairs at the New York Harbor Healthcare System in Brooklyn. Dr. Antonopoulos is a Pharmacy Practice Resident at the Department of Veterans Affairs at the New York Harbor Healthcare System in Brooklyn, and a Clinical Instructor of Pharmacy Practice at the Arnold & Marie Schwartz College of Pharmacy and Health Sciences. Drug Forecast is a regular department coordinated by Alan Caspi, PhD, PharmD, MBA, President of Caspi and Associates in New York. with acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS).8 Current treatment options for patients with lipoatrophy have included switching from a PI-based or NRTI-based regimen (especially d4T, stavudine [Zerit®, Bristol-Myers Squibb Oncology]) with other “d” drugs like ddI and ddC) to a non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI)-based regimen; implants; and plastic surgery.5,6,9 Until recently, there were no treatment options for HIV-associated lipoatrophy. On August 3, 2004, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved the first device for facial lipoatrophy in HIV-positive patients.1 SculptraTM (Dermik Laboratories/Aventis) is an injectable filler that is indicated for correcting facial lipoatrophy in HIV-positive patients.1 This product was initially approved in Europe in 1999 under the trade name New-Fill® and has been used for the cosmetic correction of scars and wrinkles.10,11
منابع مشابه
Day-ahead Price Forecasting of Electricity Markets by a New Hybrid Forecast Method
Energy price forecast is the key information for generating companies to prepare their bids in the electricity markets. However, this forecasting problem is complex due to nonlinear, non-stationary, and time variant behavior of electricity price time series. Accordingly, in this paper a new strategy is proposed for electricity price forecast. The forecast strategy includes Wavelet Transform (WT...
متن کاملPurchase Contract Management with Demand Forecast Updates
We study a two-stage purchase contract with a demand forecast update. The purchase contract provides the buyer an opportunity to adjust an initial commitment based on an updated demand forecast obtained at a later stage. An adjustment, if any, incurs a fixed as well as a variable cost. Using a dynamic programming formulation, we obtain optimal solutions for a class of demand distributions. We a...
متن کاملForecasting Pharmaceutical Prices for Economic Evaluations When There Is No Market: A Review
BACKGROUND Economic evaluation helps policy makers and healthcare payers make decisions on drug listing, coverage, and reimbursement. When economic evaluations are conducted before a product launch, the prices of the pharmaceuticals have to be forecast. OBJECTIVE The aim of this study was to examine the methods of establishing proxy prices and their accuracies compared with actual market pric...
متن کاملCatecholamine levels and delay discounting forecast drug use among African American youths.
AIMS To test hypotheses about the contributions of the catecholamines epinephrine and norepinephrine [which serve as biological markers of life stress through sympathetic nervous system (SNS) activation], delay discounting and their interaction to the prediction of drug use among young African American adults. DESIGN A 1-year prospective study that involved assessment of SNS activity and coll...
متن کاملProviding A Model for Management Earnings Forecast Bias
Despite The Important Role That Management Profit Forecasting Plays In The Decision Making Of Capital Market Actors, These Predictions Appear To Be Biased. In The Attempt To Measure The Bias Of Predicting Profit Management, Numerous One- Dimensional Measurement Tools Have Been Proposed In The Accounting And Finance Literature. Despite These Efforts, No Comprehensive Composite Index Has Been Dev...
متن کاملA Three-phase Hybrid Times Series Modeling Framework for Improved Hospital Inventory Demand Forecast
Background and Objectives: Efficient cost management in hospitals’ pharmaceutical inventories have the potential to remarkably contribute to optimization of overall hospital expenditures. To this end, reliable forecasting models for accurate prediction of future pharmaceutical demands are instrumental. While the linear methods are frequently used for forecasting purposes chiefly due to their si...
متن کامل